Donald Trump’s record-breaking performance in the Iowa Republican caucuses was a significant victory, but it does not guarantee success in the upcoming general election. The results of the earliest caucus can offer insight into Trump’s 2024 coalition, revealing his relative weakness among college-educated and suburban voters. In 2016, Trump came in second in the Iowa caucuses, but this year he won 98 of 99 counties, indicating his strength across all demographic segments. However, entrance polls suggest that he remains weaker among college-educated voters, which could be a concern for his re-election prospects.
2024-01-18 05:46:52
Article from www.economist.com