From 4h agoKey events25m agoSix charts that show why Tories can’t win general election (probably)2h agoSunak blames financial mismanagement by Labour for Nottingham city council being close to bankruptcy3h agoJeremy Hunt weighing up rwanda-deportations.html” title=”UK Politics Live: Sunak Dismisses Braverman's Assertion of Inadequate Plan for Rwanda Deportations”>inheritance tax cut in autumn statement3h agoStarmer says his Gaza policy determined by what a UK government should be doing, not what’s best for Labour unity3h agoStarmer dismisses new bill promised by Sunak on Rwanda as ‘gimmick’4h agoNo 10 does not rule out MPs being asked to debate ’emergency’ bill on Rwanda over Christmas holiday period4h agoSunak signals he will blame Labour if Lords fails to pass his ’emergency legislation’ on Rwanda quickly4h agoSunak rejects Braverman’s claim he does not have proper plan for making Rwanda deportations happen5h agoFormer cabinet minister Simon Clarke suggests Tories should fight election on hardline Rwanda plans if Lords block them5h agoDamian Green urges Tories to defend principle that government must obey law6h agoBraverman questions value of ‘vague, unaccountable concept of international law’7h agoSenior Tory says Suella Braverman wants to act like Putin with hardline alternative Rwanda proposalsFilters BETAKey events (12)Rishi Sunak (12)Suella Braverman (7)Keir Starmer (4)Damian Green (3)Vladimir Putin (3)25m ago10.36 ESTSix charts that show why Tories can’t win general election (probably)
Reports about political polling tend to focus on voting intention – how many people will vote for each party – and many of us treat these figures with some caution. That is partly because the numbers can change quickly. And party because, even when the trend is sustained, as it is at the moment, the figures can be hard to believe. There aren’t many people at Westminster who think Labour will be 22 points ahead on polling day.
That is why other polling questions can sometimes be more revealing. Today Ipsos has published some polling on attitudes to public services and, for the government, the findings are beyond abysmal. You should never say for certain that a party can’t win a general election – but it’s Friday afternoon, so here goes; if these figures are right, the election is already over.
1) Almost 80% of Britons believe public services have got worse over the past five years, and only 5% think they have got better. Given that it is hard to get 80% of people to agree on anything, this is an astonishing figure. This is much, much worse than equivalent figures during the austerity years. Another way of putting it would be to say that, for every one person who thinks public services have got better over the past five years, there are almost 16 people saying they have got worse. In 2015, for every one person saying public services were improving, there were only three people saying they were not. (The polling is based on subjective assessments, but the 78% are right; the Institute for Government recently published a report saying public service are getting a lot worse.)
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