The Impact of Climate Change on the Likelihood of Intense Heatwaves

The Impact of Climate Change on the Likelihood of Intense Heatwaves




The recent, record-breaking heat waves that have scorched the southwestern United States and‌ northern Mexico, China and ⁤southern ‍Europe were made dramatically‍ more likely due to human-caused‍ climate change, researchers report July 25 in‌ a study from the World Weather Attribution network.
These intense and at ⁢times deadly heat ‍waves are occurring ⁣as high-pressure systems stall ⁤across the ‍Northern Hemisphere,⁣ creating barely budging heat domes (SN: 7/19/23). Phoenix, for example, has reached⁣ at least 43.3° C (110° ‍Fahrenheit) every day for more than three weeks.‍
Otto and her colleagues used computers to simulate Earth’s climate, ‍with and without human-caused climate change, to assess how ‍likely the recent heat waves would ‌have been under different⁤ climate conditions.
In a world without climate change, ⁤they found, the recent extreme heat in China would be expected roughly once⁤ every 250 ​years. ⁣Now, it’s ⁤a once-in-five-years phenomenon, or⁢ 50 times⁣ more likely​ to‍ occur. ⁢Meanwhile the ⁤extreme⁤ heat‌ waves in southern ⁤Europe ⁢and North America,‍ which would have been virtually impossible without climate change, are now likely to occur once every 10 years and 15 years, respectively.

2023-07-25 00:00:00
Source from‍ www.sciencenews.org

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