Stagnant Consumer Prices in China, Persistent Factory Deflation

Stagnant Consumer Prices in China, Persistent Factory Deflation

BEIJING, Oct 13 (Reuters) ‍-‌ China’s consumer prices‌ faltered and factory-gate prices‍ shrank slightly faster than expected​ in ⁤September, with both indicators showing ⁤persistent deflationary pressures in the world’s second-largest economy.

The consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged in September from a year ⁢earlier, data by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ‍showed on Friday, missing the forecast ​of a 0.2% gain in⁢ a Reuters poll. CPI rose​ 0.1% ⁢in August.

Year-on-year core inflation, excluding food and fuel prices, was 0.8%, in line with August.

The producer price index (PPI) fell 2.5% from a ⁣year earlier, the 12th straight month in negative territory though the pace of decline slowed ‍from August. Economists had predicted a⁣ 2.4% fall in ⁣September.

Reuters Graphics

“CPI inflation at zero indicates the deflationary pressure in China is still a real risk to the ​economy. The recovery of domestic demand is not strong, without a significant‌ boost from fiscal support,” said‌ Zhiwei Zhang,⁤ chief economist at Pinpoint ‍Asset ⁣Management. “The damage from the property sector‌ slowdown on consumer confidence continues to weigh‌ on⁣ household demand.”

Food prices dropped 3.2% from a year earlier, extending a decline by 1.5 percentage points from August ⁤and dragging down the CPI. Pork prices⁤ shrank 22%, a sharper decline ‌than a 17.9% drop in August.

While​ signs are emerging that China’s economy is stabilising, concerns⁣ over the sustainability of the recovery persist.

The IMF on Tuesday lowered its growth forecasts for China for this year and next, due​ to the country’s property crisis⁢ and weak external demand.

China’s property sector has yet to emerge from a deep slump despite​ a raft of policy support measures.

Travel during the recent mid-Autumn and National Day holiday period edged up 4.1%⁢ from pre-pandemic ⁤2019 levels, although this was short ‌of ⁢official⁣ estimates.

China has rolled ‌out a series of policy ​measures in recent months to revive a stumbling economy after its post-pandemic recovery slowed to a crawl.

To revive investor confidence, China’s “Big⁤ Four” state banks announced on Wednesday stake increases by their state parent, Central Huijin Investment Ltd.

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