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A groundbreaking report led by the University of Leeds reveals that human-induced warming has increased to 1.19 °C over the past decade (2014-2023), up from 1.14 °C in the previous period (2013-2022).
In 2023 alone, human activity contributed to a warming of 1.3 °C. Despite this, the total warming experienced in 2023 was 1.43 °C, indicating the influence of natural climate variability, particularly El Niño.
The analysis also highlights that the remaining carbon budget to limit global warming to 1.5 °C is only around 200 gigatons, equivalent to about five years of current emissions.
Since 2020, when the IPCC estimated the carbon budget for 1.5 °C to be between 300-900 gigatons, emissions have continued to rise. As of early 2024, the remaining budget stands at 100 to 450 gigatons.
Professor Piers Forster, leading the Indicators of Global Climate Change Project at the University of Leeds, emphasized the concerning trend of increasing global warming despite efforts to reduce emissions. He stated, “Our analysis shows a continuous rise in global warming due to human activities, with temperatures increasing at an alarming rate.”
“Our study aims to monitor the long-term impacts of human actions on climate change. While natural factors may temporarily influence temperature records, the overall trend is driven by human-induced activities,” Forster added.
2024-06-04 20:00:03
Original source: phys.org
