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Rivian Ratings Arrive. They Are More Positive Than Tesla.

December 6, 2021
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Rivian Ratings Arrive. They Are More Positive Than Tesla.

December 6, 2021
in Business


Text dimension

A quiet interval for analysis on Rivian from brokerages concerned within the IPO has ended.

Courtesy Rivian

Stock scores for

Rivian Automotive

have arrived. Despite a excessive valuation on the electric-vehicle trucking startup, Wall Street is upbeat about its prospects and imagine Rivian is a long-term EV winner.

The 25-day quiet interval brokers engaged on an preliminary public providing observe earlier than publishing analysis is over. Now, as of Monday morning, 12 analysts have new Rivian (ticker: RIVN) scores. Eight charge shares Buy. Four charge shares Hold.

Rivian inventory isn’t reacting positively to the brand new Buys simply but. Shares had been down about 3.6% in premarket buying and selling, whereas

S&P 500
and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures had been up 0.2% and 0.6%, respectively.

Rivian’s early Buy-rating ratio is 67%. The common Buy-rating ratio for shares within the S&P 500 is about 55%. What’s extra, the Buy-rating ratio for Tesla (TSLA) is simply 48%. Wall Street prefers Rivian inventory over shares of the EV chief.

J.P. Morgan analyst Ryan Brinkman is without doubt one of the analysts that favor Rivian.

Brinkman charges Rivian shares at Hold. His worth goal is $104. That isn’t a really bullish score, however his worth goal values Rivian inventory at roughly $100 billion. Brinkman, nonetheless, charges Tesla shares Sell and has a $250 worth goal for that inventory. Brinkman’s Tesla worth goal implies Tesla inventory is price about $250 billion. That’s two-and-a-half instances greater than Rivian, however Tesla is worthwhile and anticipated to generate about $70 billion in gross sales in 2022. Rivian is predicted to generate lower than $4 billion in gross sales in 2022.

Still, Brinkman initiatives Rivian gross sales will high $55 billion by 2030. “Rivian’s caliber as a company is made clear when contemplating it beat Tesla,

Ford
,
and

GM

to market with the business’s first battery electrical pickup truck (and a very good one at that),” added the analyst in his report.

One of the brand new Buy scores comes from Baird. “Clark Kent races to catch Iron Man,” wrote Baird analyst George Gianarikas in his launch report. That refers to each Rivian CEO R.J. Scaringe, who has black-rimmed glasses, making him look slightly just like the mild-mannered reporter, and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who has been likened prior to now to a real-life Tony Stark, or Iron Man.

“Rivian has an opportunity to formidably challenge Tesla’s market dominance,” added Gianarikas. “The company has adopted a promising, vertically integrated approach, reinforced by its robust balance sheet, Amazon partnership, and strong recruitment.” Rivian is manufacturing its vans and SUVs at its new plant. What’s extra,

Amazon.com

(AMZN) is a Rivian backer and has ordered 100,000 of the corporate’s electrical supply vans.

Baird can be constructive on Tesla inventory, score shares at Buy. Baird’s Tesla worth goal is $888 a share.

Gianarikas’ worth goal is the second-highest on Wall Street. RBC analyst Joseph Spak, charges Rivian shares at Buy, has the best name, at $165.

“Rivian has category defining vehicles with a focus on the key truck segment that should allow for 50% [average annual revenue growth] through end-of-decade,” wrote Spak in his coverage-launch report. “A clean-sheet approach and strong tech will allow [the company] to eventually use the vehicle as a platform for higher-margin software and services.”

Spak initiatives $3.4 billion in 2022 gross sales for Rivian. His 2030 gross sales projection is $86 billion. And whereas he charges Rivian Buy, Spak charges Tesla shares at Hold, although he took his Tesla worth goal to $950 a share from $800 on Monday. The inventory closed at a bit lower than $1,015 on Friday.

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas is without doubt one of the analysts bullish on each Rivian and Tesla inventory. Jonas charges Tesla shares Buy and has a $1,200 worth goal for that inventory. He launched protection of Rivian shares with a Buy and $147 worth goal.

A number of extra scores ought to come out over the following few day—or subsequent few hours—however Wall Street’s preliminary view is evident: They like Rivian inventory. The common analyst worth goal at the moment sits at about $132 a share, roughly 25% above the place shares closed on Friday.

Write to Al Root at allen.root@dowjones.com


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