Predicting Viral Posts by Monitoring Emotional Trends on Social Media

Predicting Viral Posts by Monitoring Emotional Trends on Social Media

It doesn’t take a scientist to ‌know that a Facebook post bursting with party popper emojis or angry face symbols gets ⁢more reactions and shares ​than a ⁢flat, factual account of a ‍child’s graduation or an airline’s ‍villainous customer service.

But, ‍University ‌of Maryland researchers trying to understand why ⁢posts go viral on social media—including ones with misinformation and ⁣conspiracy theories—would‌ like to understand the best methods for⁣ tracking emotions on platforms to create the most accurate predictive models.

In ​a ⁤new article published in Science Advances, the team uncovered that when a post expresses highly specific ⁣emotions—from anger ⁤and love all ⁢the way to “kama muta” (Sanskrit for⁤ “being moved” ‌or “heartwarming”), wonder, pride and amusement—there is a significant and predictable impact on whether it gets shared. However, tracking broader ‌characteristics of emotions⁣ within posts, like the degree to which they were ⁣positive or ‌negative,‍ led to‍ less ⁤accurate predictions of post sharing.

“There has always been concern about the spread of social‍ media posts,” said lead author Susannah ​Paletz, associate ‍professor at the College ‌of Information Studies ⁣and an affiliate at UMD’s Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security (ARLIS). “The purpose⁢ of this study‌ was to ​understand the emotion theories that play into social media sharing.”

Co-authors included Ewa M. Golonka, Nick Pandža,⁤ C.​ Anton Rytting and Devin Ellis of ARLIS, Michael Johns of​ the Institute for Systems Research, Egle E. Murauskaite‍ of the ​ICONS Project and Cody Buntain of⁣ the College of Information ⁣Studies.

2023-10-13 11:48:04
Post from ⁣ phys.org

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