How have NOAA’s predictions for this hurricane season been generated?
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the 2021 hurricane season is expected to be “near-normal.” While this prediction provides some relief, it is important to remember that a single major hurricane can cause widespread devastation, as seen in recent years.
What does ‘near-normal’ mean?
A “near-normal” hurricane season is defined as having a 70% probability of:
- Between 10-16 named storms
- Between 4-8 hurricanes
- Between 0-4 major hurricanes of category 3 or higher
As a comparison, the 2020 hurricane season recorded 30 named storms, 13 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes. The 2021 predictions suggest a decrease in the number of storms and hurricanes.
Importance of Preparedness
Even though the prediction for the 2021 hurricane season is relatively positive, preparedness is crucial. It only takes one major hurricane to cause significant damage and loss of life. Therefore, it is essential to stay informed and prepared throughout the entire hurricane season.
Tips for Preparedness:
- Create an emergency kit with essential items such as water, non-perishable food, batteries, and a first-aid kit.
- Develop a family emergency plan and ensure each member of your family knows the plan.
- Stay informed by monitoring the latest weather updates and alerts.
- Secure your home by trimming trees and securing outdoor objects that may become hazardous during high winds.
- Learn the evacuation routes in your local area.
Conclusion
While NOAA predicts a “near-normal” hurricane season this year, it is essential to remember the unpredictable nature of hurricanes and the importance of preparedness. It is always better to err on the side of caution and be prepared for any situation. Stay informed, stay safe, and be prepared.
