Mixed Inflation Picture Slows Down US Consumer Spending

Mixed Inflation Picture Slows Down US Consumer Spending


Summary
Consumer spending edges up 0.1% in May
Core PCE price index rises 0.3%; up 4.6% year-on-year
Personal income increases 0.4%; saving rate rises to 4.6%
WASHINGTON, June 30 (Reuters) – U.S. consumer spending fizzled in May as households cut back on purchases of new light trucks and other long-lasting manufactured goods amid higher borrowing costs, suggesting the economy lost some speed in the second quarter.
While the Commerce Department’s report on Friday showed annual inflation rising last month at its slowest pace in more than two years, underlying price pressures remained too strong to discourage the Federal Reserve from returning to its strategy of raising interest rates in July, economists said. Inflation is by far still outpacing the U.S. central bank’s 2% target.
The soft consumer spending took some shine off a raft of upbeat data on the labor and housing markets this month, which had painted a picture of a resilient economy.
“The recent stalling of consumer spending and somewhat better inflation news validate the Fed’s decision to skip a meeting this month, though continued stickiness in core prices likely warrant another tap on the brakes in July,” said Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto.
Consumer spending edged up 0.1% last month. Data for April was revised lower to show spending accelerating 0.6% instead of 0.8% as previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rising 0.2%.
Spending on goods, which are typically bought on credit dropped 0.5%, with motor vehicle outlays plunging 23.3%. Spending on gasoline and other energy goods tumbled 23.4%. Goods spending increased 0.9 in April.
Outlays on services rose 0.4%, lifted by healthcare, transportation, housing and utilities, as well as financial services and insurance. Services outlays gained 0.5% in April.
When adjusted for inflation, consumer spending was unchanged. Data for April was revised lower to show the so-called real consumer spending rising only 0.2% instead of 0.5% as previously reported.
The stagnation in real consumer spending last month and the downward revision to April’s data implied that consumer spending growth slowed to around a 1.0% annualized rate in the second quarter, economists estimated, after rising at a 4.2% rate in the January-March period, the fastest in nearly two years.
Robust consumer spending accounted for the economy’s 2.0% growth pace last quarter, defying fears of a recession because of the Fed’s hefty rate hikes.
Nevertheless, the economy likely continued to chug along this quarter, with job gains, housing starts, orders for durable goods all strong and the goods trade deficit narrowing in May.
Growth estimates for the second quarter range from as low as a 0.5% rate to as high as a 2.3% pace.
Stocks on Wall Street were trading higher. The dollar fell against a basket of currencies. U.S. Treasury prices rose.
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Source from www.reuters.com

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