The eyes of the world are fixed on Iran. Following the assassination of a senior commander in Damascus by Israel, the anticipation for Iran’s response is palpable. Diplomats, generals, and politicians worldwide are in agreement that Iran will retaliate.
Speculation has been rife for nearly two weeks about the nature of Iran’s response, fueled by US intelligence reports hinting at potential strikes on Israel by Iran or its proxies.
Recently, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards seized a cargo ship associated with Israel, escalating tensions further. Israel condemned the act as piracy, warning of consequences for any escalation.
The Israeli public is on edge, with discussions on potential targets and Iran’s military capabilities dominating the airwaves. Schools are preparing for online learning, and shelters are being readied in some municipalities.
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This situation plays into Tehran’s hands, according to Yagil Levy, a military sociology professor. The fear and uncertainty among Israelis are seen as a victory for Iran, without the need for direct action.
Iran’s response could range from direct attacks on Israeli targets to utilizing proxies like Hezbollah, militias in Iraq, or the Houthis in Yemen. A direct attack from Iran would signify a departure from its usual restrained approach.
Maryam Alemzadeh, an associate professor, notes Iran’s strategic patience in the face of provocations. The country’s military capabilities, lack of international support, and economic challenges limit its options.
Despite past events like the assassination of General Qassem Suleimani, experts like Hamid Dabashi predict a more prolonged, asymmetrical response from Iran rather than a dramatic escalation.
The recent events in Damascus have set the stage for a tense standoff…
2024-04-13 13:32:25
Article from www.theguardian.com