Economic Data Softens, Causing Dollar to Reach Two-Week Low

Economic Data Softens, Causing Dollar to Reach Two-Week Low

NEW ‌YORK, ⁣Aug 30 ⁢(Reuters) -⁣ The dollar dropped to a two-week low against the euro and a basket of currencies on Wednesday after data‌ showed that U.S. private payrolls rose less than expected in ⁣August, adding to expectations that the Federal Reserve ⁤would stop raising​ interest rates.Softening data⁤ this week ⁣has raised bets⁣ that the⁣ U.S.‌ central bank has ⁢concluded its tightening cycle. It⁤ follows a brief increase​ in expectations for​ a November rate hike⁣ after relatively hawkish comments by​ Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday.This Friday’s‌ jobs report for August will be closely watched for further⁢ confirmation that the tightness in​ the labor market is ebbing as interest ‌rates remain relatively high.“The ​dollar’s falling​ on the belief that the​ Federal‍ Reserve‌ has done enough,” said Adam Button, chief currency analyst ​at ​ForexLive in‍ Toronto. “I ​think nonfarm payrolls will be the final​ ‘stick the fork in it’ ‍moment if it’s​ soft.”Friday’s ⁢jobs‌ data is​ expected to show that employers ‍added 170,000 jobs in ⁣August, ⁤according to the median estimate of economists polled by Reuters. (USNFAR=ECI)Private⁣ payrolls rose by 177,000 jobs last month, ‌the ADP National Employment report showed on Wednesday. Economists polled by ⁤Reuters had forecast private employment would increase‌ by 195,000.The greenback‍ also fell on ⁣Tuesday ​after data⁢ showed that U.S. job openings ⁤dropped ⁤to ⁤the lowest level in ‍nearly 2-1/2‍ years in July as⁤ the labor market gradually slowed.Markets now ⁢see an⁣ 89%⁤ chance of the Fed leaving​ rates unchanged next month, the CME FedWatch Tool showed, and a 46% ⁢probability of a‌ hike ‍in November.Other data ‍on Wednesday showed that the U.S. economy grew at a ⁢slightly less brisk pace than initially thought in the ⁢second quarter⁣ as businesses liquidated inventory.Personal consumption⁤ expenditures due on Thursday will also give new clues ⁤on inflation.The dollar index was last down 0.36% at 103.16, ⁤after earlier going as ​low as 102.92. It⁣ has fallen from⁢ 104.44 last Friday, the highest since June⁢ 1.The greenback gained 0.23% to 146.195 Japanese yen, but remained below a 10-month ​high of 147.375 reached on Tuesday.The euro was last up 0.38% at $1.0921. It has bounced from $1.07655 on Friday, the lowest since June 13.The ⁤single ⁢currency was boosted by hotter-than-expected inflation⁣ in Germany, a ⁣day before ​highly anticipated consumer price data for the euro zone.German ⁢consumer⁢ prices increased by an annual 6.4%‌ in August, down from a reading of ​6.5% in July but above the 6.3% forecast in a poll of economists surveyed by Reuters.Spain’s consumer ⁢prices also rose to 2.6%, while core inflation fell to 6.1% from 6.2% in July.The data “add to the⁣ uncertainty‍ surrounding the near-term path of ECB policy. On balance, we think that ‍the ECB will ​raise‌ rates once ⁤more in this cycle,” said Hubert de Barochez, markets economist at Capital Economics.Money markets ⁢raised⁤ their bets on a September rate hike from the European Central Bank, pricing in…

Source from ‍ www.reuters.com

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