Wall Street is factoring in a slight yet increasing possibility of a catastrophic US default: ‘It’s not nothing.’

Wall Street is factoring in a slight yet increasing possibility of a catastrophic US default: ‘It’s not nothing.’

New York CNN —

A US default would have such devastating economic and financial consequences that many observers dismiss the possibility out of hand. But investors are not ruling out such a nightmare scenario.

Even though a default could wipe out millions of jobs and wreak havoc on Wall Street, the White House and Republican leaders in Washington are nowhere near a deal to avert disaster that could strike as soon as July.

As politicians sleepwalk toward a potential debt ceiling crisis, financial markets have begun pricing in a small — but growing — chance of a disastrous default.

The implied probability of a US government default has increased to approximately 2%, according to modeling by research provider MSCI shared exclusively with CNN. That calculation is based on the cost to insure US debt in the market for credit default swaps.

Although the…

2023-03-31 05:49:13
Post from www.cnn.com

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