Data Suggests Low Odds of Encountering Bigfoot or the Loch Ness Monster

Data Suggests Low Odds of Encountering Bigfoot or the Loch Ness Monster




There were drones, there were boats. There were spotters⁣ on land and a ‍hydrophone listening for suspicious ⁣sounds underwater.⁤ In what may have been the biggest search of its​ kind in 50 years, crowds of people⁤ gathered this summer in Scotland⁣ to hunt for any sign of a legendary creature:‌ the⁤ Loch Ness ⁢Monster.
In July, Foxon published a study on the probability of finding a ⁣giant eel‍ in the loch, one of⁤ many hypotheses for sightings​ of​ the ‌storied sea⁢ monster. The answer: Essentially⁣ zero. Even‍ the chances of finding a⁣ 1-meter-long‌ eel ⁤are low, about 1 ‍in 50,000,‌ Foxon reported in ‌JMIRx Bio. But once⁢ you⁢ get much longer than that — ‌into monster-sized eel territory — the⁢ probability plummets.
But ⁢don’t call Foxon a myth buster or a debunker. “Absolutely not,” he ⁤says. “I think you ‌should approach these things with an open mind and let⁣ the‍ data influence your decision-making.”
Though monsters ‌have captured Foxon’s imagination, his background ‌is ⁤in physics, and by day, he’s a data analyst for a‌ health ⁤consulting firm. In his​ free time,‌ he flits through far-flung fields of ⁤science, including ​astronomy, paleontology and cryptology, the study‌ of ciphers. “When you learn data science,”⁤ Foxon says,⁤ “you find⁣ that it can⁤ be applied to⁢ more or⁢ less anything.” Even monsters.

2023-09-26 08:00:00
Article from www.sciencenews.org
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